Wednesday, June 27, 2007

The Puppet-Master and the Sock

Marty Lederman, one of the lawyer contributors to the legal blog Balkinization, dissects the organizational meaning of the series the Washington Post just completed on Angler, aka Dick Cheney. It comes back to the simple fact that Bush is so out of his league as POTUS that he has stepped back and allowed himself to be ruthlessly manipulated by Cheney and his office. In the process, the top levels of government have foregone the normal cross-functional reviews and debate that must be behind all major policy decisions with disastrous results in policy after policy. The inmates have literally taken over the asylum. I don't think we, the American people and certainly our supposed watchdogs the press, realize yet how much the very character of our nation has been damaged and even destroyed by these zealots.

This excerpt is long but its conclusions are inescapable:

As the Post's Becker/Gellman series continues to describe tomorrow with respect to Cheney's dominance of even environmental policymaking, for all practical purposes the OVP is the Bush Administration, and its views become the official views of the Administration, no matter what others in the Administration think. Call it the Unitary Shadow-Executive.

A couple of days ago, I asked the befuddling question left unanswered by Gellman and Becker: Why? After all, there are extremists and hard-liners in every Administration, and they are often at the table, and even influential. But the internal Executive branch process is designed to ensure that multiple perspectives are considered, and therefore the most extreme and most uncompromising positions rarely prevail. In this Administration, the OVP almost invariably wins. Indeed, the VP wins after cutting everyone else out of the loop altogether. And everyone else is incredulous at this radical departure from the ordinary modes of decision making. (I know from experience that this was so at OLC early in the Administration, and not only among us Clinton holdovers -- and we know from Becker/Gellman and others that it was also true at DoD, State, CIA, NSC, etc.) And yet the pattern continues apace, even to this very day, with David Addington apparently feeling free to simply ignore the ordinary methods by which an Administration typically arives at a legal interpretation.

Part of the explanation is, of course, that Addington and Cheney win because they are unrelenting. Everyone else in D.C., i.e., the other players in the Executive branch, have gotten to where they are today by learning to compromise and negotiate, to play the give and take of institutional decision making. These guys, however, don't give an inch, while everyone else is still in the reality-based community that they know and love. In most institutions, such stubborness and unwillingness to compromise would lead to marginalization. But in this one, the Vice President and Addington simply wear people out -- no one relishes the fight, and so they simply give up. Victory by attrition and intimidation. (It also helps, of course, that Rumsfeld, Cambone, Gonzales, Flannigan and Miers were complicit . . . .)

But a larger part of the explanation is simply that Cheney always wins because, for some reason, the President has decided that that is how it should be. Which only clarifies that the real question is why the President allows this to happen.

In a great series of posts, all linked here, Hilzoy concludes that the Becker/Gellman story can only be explained by a bunch of cabinet officials who are dysfunctional, allowing an "insane" process to continue unabated. She focuses on the astonishing fact that Colin Powell and Condi Rice only found out about the August 2002 Torture memo from newspaper accounts two years after the fact:
Stop and think about that for a moment. A memo making an absolutely radical, 180 degree change in US detention and interrogation policy in ways that will predictably have an enormous impact on our standing in the world is signed, and neither the Secretary of State nor the National Security Advisor finds out about it until two years later? From a newspaper article?

Similarly, Powell and Rice did not find out about the President's military commission order until after it was issued . . . as to which Hilzoy writes:
Again, a major policy decision is made, one that will have huge effects on our relations with other countries, and Powell and Rice find out about it after the fact, from CNN.

This is insane.

***

Here's a reflection that is not exactly rocket science: it's much, much better to find out what's wrong with an idea before you adopt it, not afterwards. The way you try to maximize the chance of finding out what's wrong with your ideas before you adopt them is to make sure that your policy proposals are vigorously debated beforehand. Sometimes you can do a long policy vetting process involving zillions of people and inter-agency confabs and all that; sometimes you only have time for a vigorous brainstorming session among principals; but you should never, never make decisions without serious debate if you can possibly avoid it.

* * * *

There is simply no way in which Dick Cheney could have operated as he did in an organization that was not utterly dysfunctional. None. And at least part of that dysfunction has to be put down to the astonishing passivity of his co-workers. . . .

[Rice and Powell] are the National Security Advisor and the Secretary of State. . . . [T]hey should have gone to the President the first time something like this happened and said: we refuse to work in an environment in which we have to find out about things like this from the newspapers. Trust us or we're out of here.

* * * *

These articles should be assigned to management classes as studies in what not to do. They describe the exact sort of decision-making process that reliably leads to disaster, and the kinds of personal dynamics that enable it. It's a model of complete organizational breakdown, and it should be studied for generations to come, so that it is never repeated

I agree with much of this. But as today's Post story explains, resignation doesn't ususally have much of an effect, other than to strengthen the VP's hand, and his portfolio. Christine Todd Whitman did resign, because she was unable to convince the President to reject Cheney's extreme views on environmental issues. That was the right thing to do -- but notice that it barely caused a blip in the Imperial Vice Presidency.

Hilzoy's co-blogger Publius offers an even more comprehensive indictment -- of all of us: "The reason Cheney’s Office got to dominate the executive branch is because we -- America -- elected a neophyte who lacked the experience, knowledge, and judgment to be president. . . . Our nation’s political machinery elevated a grossly inexperienced and ignorant man to the Oval Office. The entirely predictable result is that he would be forced to rely on someone else to make the decisions he wasn’t able or willing to make."

I'm not sure about this. Even if Bush didn't have the chops to make decisions himself -- and in that respect, he wouldn't be alone among Presidents -- what explains his constant deference to Cheney, and his refusal to listen to any of his other trusted advisers? Publius surmises that Bush was simply rolled by Cheney and Rumsfeld, because they were more savvy than their competitors for the President's approval. I don't know, but it's a point worth considering:
It’s pretty simple. When you elect someone who doesn’t know what he’s doing, you’re essentially electing someone else to be president. Kerry and Gore had their flaws, but they would have been the Deciders. They certainly would not have tolerated a lawless, out-of-control operation such as Cheney’s Office. At the very least, they would have, you know, been aware of the debates and had some pre-existing knowledge to inform their judgment. Bush, by contrast, was simply no match for Cheney and Rumsfeld’s decades of experience. Thus, the failure that is Cheney is not merely an individual failure on the part of Bush. Cheney is an institutional failure -- a failure of our political system. That’s the key to understand. The rise of Cheney is itself an indictment of our political institutions and culture.

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